Minnesota Twins Top 100 Prospects: 81-100
After a return to the playoffs and a very successful season in the minor leagues for the Minnesota Twins organization, it’s time to examine top prospects!
As the Minnesota Twins built up the team that made the playoffs in 2017, they used excellent prospects, ranking as the top minor league system in the game at times along the way, boasting multiple top prospects, including the #1 prospect in all of baseball at time, and they were adept at acquiring players in multiple ways to create that farm system.
The Twins enjoyed the fruits of that farm system this season as young players truly carried the day for the major league team. On the major league team, there were 16 position players that returned positive Baseball Reference WAR value, and 12 of them were in their 20s. Pitching was a bit more volatile and top-heavy, as 12 pitchers contributed positive WAR values, and 7 were in their 20s. The 30+ pitchers outpaced the 20s pitchers in WAR contributed in total 6.5-5.4, but 4.6 of the 30+ group’s 6.5 came from Ervin Santana.
The list
This list is the product of the work of Benjamin Chase. He has taken time to do plenty of player video evaluation and contacting a number of scouts and others within the game to get opinion on players that he hasn’t seen himself in order to put this list together. The list itself is based on Ben’s opinion, so his own biases are to be noted in the viewing of the list. Specifically, production at a full season level will weigh more heavily on a list. Relievers will likely rank lower on a list.
This is a snapshot at this point in time, and many things could come out of winter workouts, winter league play, or even spring training that would make any of these rankings seem foolish. There are a number of players on this list that are eligible for minor league free agency, so there could be some guys here that end up in another organization through free agency or part of a trade. Disagreements are likely, and, frankly, encouraged! Please feel free to comment below on any disagreements you may have!
The list will come out with 20 players at a time, with #81-100 on Monday, #61-80 on Tuesday, #41-60 on Wednesday, #21-40 on Thursday, and #1-20 on Friday. Also on Friday will be a post that offers up the entire list in list format (no player evaluations on those players) and also will add a number more players to keep track of beyond the top 100 that could move up quickly or that had positive 2017 seasons.
With that, we will begin with today’s installment, #81-100….
Next: #96-100
100. Bailey Ober, RHP, Elizabethton
Born: 7/12/1995
2017 Stats: 28 IP, 3.21 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 3/35 BB/K
Info: Big (6’8″, 215 pounds) right hander from College of Charleston was drafted in the 12th round this season by the Minnesota Twins. He made 6 appearances, 4 of them starts for Elizabethton. Ober had Tommy John after his freshman year, and he’s never regained the velocity he had at that point, but he’s shown tremendous improvement in his understanding of the art of pitching, using his height to generate excellent downward plane on his fastball, mixing in an above-average-to-plus change, and seeing his breaker work much better in pro ball. If he can continue the progression with his breaking ball, working in the upper 80s and lower 90s will not be an issue, especially if he’s only allowing 0.96 BB/9, but the profile is one that is very tough to succeed, so he’s at this point on the list.
99. Anthony Marzi, LHP, Cedar Rapids/Fort Myers
Born: 11/27/1992
2017 Stats: 60 2/3 IP, 1.93 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 16/41 BB/K
Info: An unsigned free agent out of Connecticut, Marzi pitched in rookie ball for the Yankees in 2015 before pitching all of 2016 and opening 2017 in independent ball. The Twins signed him and started him with Cedar Rapids in early July. Marzi is a textbook “crafty lefty” with a fastball that works in the upper 80s, touching 91-92. Marzi works in two breaking pitches in his curve and slider, and he can get a strikeout with both. He has a change that is average currently, but it flashed a huge ceiling due to a bit of deception in his delivery allowing the pitch to play up when he can really work the arm deception and movement on the pitch well. Marzi made 10 starts after being signed, and he does an excellent job keeping the ball in the park.
98. Patrick McGuff, RHP, Cedar Rapids
Born: 3/30/1994
2017 Stats: 50 2/3 IP, 2.49 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 19/53 BB/K
Info: Drafted in the 36th round in 2016 out of Morehead State, McGuff has shown well in two pro seasons now for the Twins. He worked as a multi-inning reliever primarily for the Kernels this season, and his three-pitch mix works well in that use, playing just through the lineup once or maybe twice at most. His velocity has ticked up a touch this year to touching mid-90s at the very peak, but sitting more in the 90-93 range, and I noted a lot more late movement on the pitch, allowing for a very solid strikeout rate. His future is in the bullpen, but his three pitch mix should work well to allow him to work multiple innings in that role, even as he advances.
97. Yeltsin Encarnacion, IF, DSL
Born: 6/28/1998
2017 Stats: .318/.408/.523, 8 3B, 2 HR, 6 SB, 22/20 BB/K
Info: Typically when a guy is in his third season of the Dominican Summer League and breaks out, you take it with a grain of salt, but Encarnacion’s season was such that it’s hard to ignore. A bit of a swoon toward the end of the season actually brought down his numbers significantly, as he was hitting about .350 with a near .450 OBP on August 10th before finishing the season a bit rough. Encarnacion has an excellent arm defensively, but is not exceptional with his hands, leading to a question as to his best position. He played primarily 2B and 3B in 2017. While a guy with a breakout in his 3rd year of DSL often is having his one solid season in pro ball, it’s worthwhile to note as it could be the sign of figuring something out, especially with the exceptional BB/K rate that Encarnacion showed in 2017.
96. Kolton Kendrick, 1B, Elizabethton
Born: 8/10/1996
2017 Stats: .231/.345/.385, 4 HR, 22/45 BB/K
Info: A hat tip to my cohort Matt Powers, who covers the Atlanta Braves minor leagues (among others), as I knew Kendrick’s name, but I hadn’t looked heavily into him before talking with Matt about him. Kendrick has a very pretty power swing from the left side, and he knows how to take a walk, but the issue he has had so far as a pro is simply making consistent contact as he has some load getting into the zone, as that pretty swing has plenty of arch into and exiting the zone, but through the hitting zone, Kendrick has tremendous bat speed and generates big-time power. The 2015 high school draftee from Louisiana hasn’t made it out of rookie ball yet, but his level of power and willingness to take a walk is something very desired in the game. If he can work to shorten up some in 2-strike situations, he could shoot quickly up the system.
Next: #91-95
95. Brian Navarreto, C, Fort Myers/Chattanooga
Born: 12/29/1994
2017 Stats: .209/.264/.287, 4 HR, 1 SB, 20/63 BB/K
Info: Navarreto had some issues in high school with off-field and on-field incidents that really hurt his draft stock as the Puerto Rico native was one of the most highly-regarded catching prospects in his 2013 draft class before those issues came to light. Navarreto is tremendous behind the plate, especially in the run game, where he nailed 54% of runners who attempted to steal against him. At the plate, he’s struggled to get his big swing calmed down with two strikes in order to make more consistent contact, but when he gets bat on the ball, he has significant power. He is 22, and with catchers, later development is a common thing, especially in their offensive game, but Navarreto is starting to run out of time with 5 seasons already in the Twins system. His defensive skills are such that the Twins will still be giving him opportunities unless they’re certain they have better options at the upper levels.
94. J.J. Robinson, 1B, Elizabethton
Born: 10/11/92
2017 Stats: .264/.337/.480, 9 HR, 1 SB, 12/44 BB/K
Info: Robinson was the Twins’ 33rd round selection this year from Lewis-Clark State after hitting 22 home runs this season in college. He has a very calm, collected swing that attacks the ball in the zone, though he did struggle with pitch recognition on breaking stuff in his pro debut, but that’s not terribly surprising for a smaller school guy jumping to advanced rookie ball. Robinson certainly showed the power in his lefty swing with his 9 home runs, but he has legit athleticism and defensive chops around the first base bag as well. He’ll hope to show well in full season ball in 2018.
93. Todd Van Steensel, RHP, Chattanooga
Born: 1/14/1991
2017 Stats: 58 2/3 IP, 1.38 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 14/50 BB/K
Info: Van Steensel is an Aussie righty that initially was signed by the Phillies, but after being released by the Phillies, he pitched in rookie ball with the Twins in 2011 before returning to European and Australian leagues for the next two seasons. The Twins brought him back in 2014, and his age is going to be older than most guys at his level due to that time away from the game. Moving to the bullpen has allowed Van Steensel to play up his low-90s fastball and slider by repeating his funky delivery more consistently. His control is his biggest issue currently, but his funky action makes it near impossible to drive the ball off of him, and he’s able to get through multiple innings as well, as shown by his 36 appearances and 58 2/3 innings.
92. Alex Muren, RHP, Fort Myers/Chattanooga
Born: 11/6/1991
2017 Stats: 51 IP, 2.47 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 14/50 BB/K
Info: Drafted in the 12th round of the 2012 draft out of Cal State Northridge, Muren has a solid build and big time fastball. His lack of full-time work on the mound seemed to catch up to his arm in 2015, when he ended up having to have surgery, missing all of 2016, and he returned to make 33 appearances this season. His repertoire includes a big fastball that can touch the upper 90s and a slider/cutter combo that showed very good bite just before the surgery. He’s regained his velocity slowly this season to the point where he was near dominant at the end of the season with Chattanooga. His control and command is still coming back, but that’s common with TJS to return more in the 2nd season.
91. Tom Hackimer, RHP, Cedar Rapids/Fort Myers
Born: 6/28/1994
2017 Stats: 61 1/3 IP, 1.76 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 22/71 BB/K, 13 saves
Info: Hackimer is more than just the best minor league Twitter follow in the Minnesota Twins organization. He was a 4th round draft pick in 2016, and he’s thrown like a guy more than worthy of that early slot. Speaking of “slots”, Hackimer’s arm slot is doing a number on minor league hitters thus far. His fastball works up to 92-93, but sits more around 90 but he has tremendous horizontal movement and sink on the pitch. He adds in a frisbee slider that really works well on hitters from both sides of the plate. The major concern for Hackimer has been his struggles to keep his walks in check his first season at a new level. He opened with Cedar Rapids and was posting a 3.3% walk rate in 16 games and 24 innings before being promoted to Fort Myers, where he posted a 12.3% walk rate. However, this fits with his initial 10.5% walk rate at Cedar Rapids last season in his draft year after being a strike-zone pounding pitching in college. If he can return to those ways, he’ll make this ranking look much too low as his stuff compares very favorably to current Twins Trevor Hildenberger.
Next: #86-90
90. Alberoni Nunez, OF, DSL
Born: 2/17/1999
2017 Stats: .352/.420/.545, 7 3B, 3 HR, 11 SB, 20/35 BB/K
Info: Nunez made his debut with the Twins at 18 this season, and he showed as much statistically as any hitter in the DSL. That’s the good thing. Nunez has gone under the radar so far in spite of an athletic build, fairly good eye at the plate, and a good combination of power and speed, but he’s been discussed as a guy who may have been too advanced to truly be playing at the DSL. It will be very interesting to see how Nunez will adapt coming stateside as he’s reported to have a very solid arm in the outfield, but that’s the best report for sure on him. More information when he comes stateside could really push up his ranking!
89. Mark Contreras, OF, Elizabethton
Born: 1/24/1995
2017 Stats: .275/.319/.421, 4 HR, 5 SB, 8/52 BB/K
Info: The Twins 9th round selection out of UC Riverside was signed for $10K and assumed to be more of a roster filler in the minor leagues. Instead, he really showed excellent contact skills with solid power/speed to go along with it. Contreras did miss time in 2017 during his collegiate season due to a broken hamate bone, and he really did show some major issues in his swing at times in comfort. He has raw power that flashes plus in batting practice, and with good athleticism, he could end up filling out to more of a hitter than his humble signing bonus indicated.
88. Zander Wiel, 1B, Fort Myers
Born: 1/11/1993
2017 Stats: .250/.344/.429, 13 HR, 8 SB, 62/104 BB/K
Info: Wiel was part of a very good collegiate program at Vanderbilt, and while many of his teammates got a lot more hype, Wiel was a 12th round selection in 2015, and he’s shown solid overall skills ever since. Wiel has a thick frame that is really only suited for first base, but he does have surprising agility at first for his size. When he uncorks his power, he really can knock a ball a ways. Due to his position limitations and a big swing path, Wiel has an uphill climb to become more than a power bat off of the bench, but his profile is exactly the type of guy who could suddenly make a few adjustments in his swing, have them really push him forward, and make this ranking look silly as well.
87. Alex Robles, 1B/OF, GCL
Born: 7/7/1995
2017 Stats: .324/.369/.407, 3 HR, 10 SB, 8/14 BB/K
Info: Robles was drafted in the 30th round out of Austin Peay State, and to say that there was much known about him coming out of college would be flat-out lying, but Robles put together a very nice season with the GCL Twins. Listed at 6′ and 200 pounds, Robles has a more compact and powerful build than that. Robles has a good idea of the strike zone, but when he takes a cut, he really uncorks a mammoth swing on the ball. What was surprising was Robles’ speed at his size as he can really get down the line well. He’s primarily a 1B and corner OF, but if he can continue to make good contact, he could surprise many who dismissed him due to his draft pedigree.
86. Carlos Suniaga, RHP, GCL/Elizabethton
Born: 5/26/1997
2017 Stats: 51 1/3 IP, 1.58 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 12/42 BB/K
Info: A 2014 signee, Suniaga got his feet wet for the first time as a pro in 2015 at age 18. The Venezuela native wasn’t highly regarded at his signing, likely due to a mediocre fastball, but he’s filled out well, and he uses good extension in his delivery to generate a very good feel on his fastball for additional velocity as well as a “Bugs Bunny” string-pulling effect on his change. Suniaga’s breaking pitch has been a work in progress, but he had some very good moments with it this season. Without a solid, consistent breaking pitch, he’ll likely see more ground balls than strikeouts and struggle to stick as a starter, but Suniaga is a guy who pounds the zone and has such a high-level feel for his change to pair with his ~92 MPH fastball that works well in the zone due to his high 3/4 arm slot and good extension toward the plate in his delivery.
Next: #81-85
85. Ryley Widell, LHP, Elizabethton
Born: 6/1/1997
2017 Stats: 29 2/3 IP, 2.43 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 20/41 BB/K
Info: A two-way player in high school in Hawaii, Widell struggled to find his control as a freshman with Washington State, leading him to transfer to Central Arizona JuCo. He thrived there, becoming the Twins’ 7th round selection this past June. While Widell’s size (6’4″, 200ish) may lead to thinking he could pound 95+ MPH heat into the zone, he’s a guy who works more around 90 and touches 93 with very good movement. Primarily a fastball change guy in college, he really saw his curve take a huge step forward in effectiveness as a pro, but that also led to heavy struggles with command, as he walked just under 15%. He was able to generate a 30% strikeout rate over his 8 games after he was drafted, and while his listed velocity was sitting 90, touching 93, there were reports he could reach back for more. If he could be tapping into another level as a pitcher and get his command/control back in line, he could quickly rocket up this list.
84. Lean Marrero, OF, Cedar Rapids
Born: 9/19/1997
2017 Stats: .200/.256/.275, 0 HR, 1 SB, 3/7 BB/K
Info: The Twins have a long-standing relationship with Puerto Rico, often taking multiple Puerto Rican high school players in each draft. The Twins made Marrero their selection in 2015 in the 16th round. Marrero has tremendous athleticism in his frame, with power and speed in his 5’11”, 185ish pound frame. He was one of the most exciting players to watch with Cedar Rapids in his brief 10 games at the level before missing the rest of the season with injury. If he can remain healthy, the play he exhibits on the field is one of the most exciting grouping of skills of any outfielder in the Minnesota Twins system.
83. Michael Theofanopoulos, LHP, Fort Myers
Born: 8/5/1992
2017 Stats: 67 IP, 3.76 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 24/77 BB/K
Info: More than just a letter sewer’s worst nightmare in the clubhouse, Thofanopoulos was a 30th round selection in the 2014 draft by the Twins. After splitting his draft season between starting and relieving, he’s been a reliever for the last three seasons. In 2017, Theofanopoulos did very well handling multiple innings, as he made 37 appearances to reach those 67 innings. The Twins have moved Thofanopoulos seemingly slow in the system, but his production has been consistently good. He’ll get a chance to prove it at Chattanooga.
82. Alex Robinson, LHP, Cedar Rapids/Fort Myers
Born: 8/11/1994
2017 Stats: 55 1/3 IP, 3.42 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 28/78 BB/K
Info: A lefty from Maryland with a low arm slot, the Twins drafted Robinson in the 5th round in 2015. He has elite velocity, but his command can come and go badly. His production in 2017 was a perfect reflection on exactly that. With Cedar Rapids, Robinson kept his walk rate at a reasonable rate (3.65 BB/9), and his numbers were a 2.92 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. When moving up to high-A, however, Robinson struggled with his control (6.75 BB/9), and his numbers there reflected it with a 4.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. Robinson has a fastball that has tremendous movement at 92-94 MPH, touching 98, and he compliments it with a slider with a hard, late break. Robinson’s raw stuff may be as good as any lefty reliever in the entire system, but putting it together will be reliant on his control.
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81. Trey Cabbage, 3B/OF, Elizabethton/Cedar Rapids
Born: 5/3/1997
2017 Stats: .227/.310/.351, 4 HR, 1 SB, 26/73 BB/K
Info: Cabbage was drafted in 2015 out of high school in Tennessee, where he was a star in baseball and basketball both. Cabbage is tremendously athletic and has incredible raw power in batting practice. Cabbage has to work on his load into his swing to be able to access that power more consistently in game, but he did show impressive ability to handle all pitches as he did hit every type of pitch when he did hit, even if that wasn’t as often as one may like. Cabbage is likely a future left fielder due to his average arm not playing well long-term at third base, but his athleticism should allow him to handle left field very well.
Next: Four Make BA Appy League Top 20
Tomorrow we will continue with #61-80. Any disputes? Guys you expected to see higher on the list? Guys you were surprised were on the list at all? Comment below!