Blue Jays vs. Twins prediction and odds for Game 1 of AL Wild Card

The Minnesota Twins are in a great spot to break their playoff losing streak on Tuesday in Game 1 against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Sep 16, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez (49) pitches
Sep 16, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez (49) pitches / Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
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The Minnesota Twins will take on the Toronto Blue Jays in the opening round of the MLB Playoffs.

The Twins will roll with Pablo Lopez in Game 1 on Tuesday, and he'll face-off against the Jays' ace, Kevin Gausman. Can the Twins snap their 0-18 stretch in postseason games? I think they can.

Before I dive into the odds for the game as well as why I think the Twins will get the job done, be sure to get in on the action at FanDuel Sportsbook. For a limited time, new users will receive $200 in bonus bets guaranteed when they place their first $5 wager! Just click the link below to claim this offer.

Now, let's dive into Game 1 action.

Blue Jays vs. Twins probable pitchers for Tuesday, Oct. 3

  • Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (RHP) - 12-9, 3.16 ERA
  • Twins: Pablo Lopez (RHP) - 11-8, 3.66 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Twins odds, run line, and total

Blue Jays vs. Twins prediction and pick

I have no faith in the Blue Jays to be able to get things done offensively. Over the last 30 days, the Twins offense has been on fire, ranking fourth in MLB in OPS at .816.

Meanwhile, the Jays have not lived up to their expectations. They have the 19th best OPS over that same time frame at just .725. Not only that, but they've done a terrible job at bringing runners home as well. They're 23rd in leaving runners in scoring position, leaving an average of 3.62 runners in score position per game.

That's not good.

Let's also not blindly bet the Blue Jays just because they're starting Kevin Gausman. Toronto is just 16-15 in Gausman starts this season.

I think Minnesota ends its playoff losing streak on Tuesday.


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!