Twins vs. Astros prediction and odds for ALDS Game 1

Here are your best bets for Twins-Astros in Game 1 of the ALDS.

Oct 4, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins second baseman Jorge Polanco (11) hits a
Oct 4, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins second baseman Jorge Polanco (11) hits a | Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros will face-off in the ALDS.

After breaking their 0-18 run in playoff games, the Twins are on fire and ready to make a run at the World Series. Meanwhile, the Astros are doing their best to successfully defend their title.

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Twins vs. Astros probable pitchers for Game 1

  • Minnesota: Bailey Ober (righty): 8-6, 3.42 ERA
  • Houston: Justin Verlander (righty): 7-3, 3.31 ERA

Twins vs. Astros odds, run line, and total

Twins vs. Astros prediction and pick

One thing we can rely on in this game is offense. These two teams have been some of the best offenses in baseball over the past 30 days. Over that time frame, they rank fifth (.782) and sixth (.777) in OPS with the Astros sporting the slight advantage.

Let's also remember that Justin Verlander hasn't played as well in the playoffs as he has in the regular season throughout his career. Just last season he had a 5.85 ERA in four playoff starts.

Meanwhile, Ober is making his first playoff start so we know he'll be feeling the pressure.

I think the best thing to do in this matchup is to just sit back and root for the OVER, so that's exactly what I'm going to do. Don't be fooled by the low total.


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

Schedule