Minnesota Twins: 2022 Quarter-Season Grades for the Twins Bullpen
The Minnesota Twins are now officially a little over a quarter through the season, with the team playing it’s 44th game of the season yesterday. The team is 27-17, 4.5 games above the Chicago White Sox in the American League Central, and just four games behind the New York Yankees for the best record in the American League (and all of baseball).
With that in mind, it’s time once again to stop and grade the individual players on how they’ve performed over the course of the season so far and take a look at how they earned that grade. We started the series with the hitters on Tuesday, continued with the rotation yesterday, and wrap things up with the bullpen today.
We grade the Minnesota Twins bullpen on their 2022 performances.
Similar to the first two installments, there are some relievers who miss the cut, namely Jorge Alcala, Trevor Megill, Jovani Moran, Dereck Rodriguez, Cole Sands, Jhon Romero, Jharel Cotton, Yennier Cano, and Nick Gordon (lol), all of whom have appeared in less than five games for the Twins this season.
Josh Winder is also not included as he was on the rotation list. We’ll wrap this series up starting with the lower leverage pitchers and working our way up to the high leverage pitchers, starting with Danny Coulombe.
2022 Quarter-Season Grades for the Minnesota Twins Low-Leverage Relievers
Danny Coulombe
What a breakout season from Danny Coulombe. Though he had a solid 2021, he built on it even further in 2022. Just take a look at the comparison between the two season stat lines thus far:
- 2021: 29 G, 34.1 IP, 3.67 ERA (3.75 FIP), 1.223 WHIP, 33-7 K-BB
- 2022: 9 G, 12 IP, 0.75 ERA (3.37 FIP), 1.000 WHIP, 9-7 K-BB
Now obviously, he’s striking out fewer batters and he’s been on the injured list for a couple of weeks so this could all change when he comes back, but he’s been extremely reliable this year. Grade: A.
Cody Stashak
The Twins and analytics people like myself spent all of 2021 trying to convince anyone who would listen that Cody Stashak was way better than his ERA suggested last year. 2022 has proved us right (up until his injury), as his ERA of 3.86 is backed up by a 2.08 FIP, 2.75 xERA, 3.51 xFIP, and 15-0 K-BB ratio.
Even though he’s striking out less batters than he has in any year prior, he’s still been a key piece of this bullpen. If he misses a few more bats and earned a few more strikeouts, he’d have an A, but I can’t quite give it to him yet. Grade: B+.
Griffin Jax
Despite his last couple of outings hurting his stats a bit, Griffin Jax has been a key reliever for the Twins so far this year. The Twins saw his potential as a pitcher last year and though he doesn’t have the stamina to be a starter, he’s a very strong reliever who’s proved capable of big situations.
His 9.4 K/9 rate and though his walk rate has gone up over the past two weeks, it’s still solid. This ugly stretch lowers his grade from the A it would have been in early May, but it’s been awesome to see the Twins pitching pipeline develop another arm. Grade: B+.
Caleb Thielbar
As much as the first three relievers on our list have improved from 2021, Caleb Thielbar has fallen off. Take a look at Thielbar’s stat lines from the past three years:
- 2020: 17 G, 20 IP, 2.25 ERA (2.34 FIP), 1.150 WHIP, 22-9 K-BB
- 2021: 59 G, 64 IP, 3.23 ERA (3.47 FIP), 1.172 WHIP, 77-20 K-BB
- 2022: 19 G, 17 IP, 5.82 ERA (4.06 FIP), 1.412 WHIP, 20-10 K-BB
The year-to-year regression was expected after a shortened 2020 season, but this year his has been tough. His stuff has mostly been good, as his 3.18 xERA, 4.06 FIP, and 10.6 K/9 rates suggest, but he simply has to cut down on walks, as his walk rate is sitting at a career-worst 5.3 BB/9. That results in a tough grade. Grade: D+.
High-Leverage Relievers
Tyler Duffey
Similar to Caleb Thielbar, Tyler Duffey has not been as good as in previous years, but he’s still been overall solid this year, especially after a brutal start to the year. His xFIP is 2.52, 1.096 WHIP, and 1.6 BB/9 rate are very clean.
He’s not the dominant reliever he used to be, and he hasn’t been missing many bats, but he’s hitting the zone a ton while continuing to lift his strikeout rate (it’s now up to 8.3 K/9). He’s not a late-inning guy anymore, but he’s productive. Grade: B.
Joe Smith
There have been better free agent signings the Twins have made over the course of their franchise history (a certain shortstop and starting pitcher come to mind), but thus far Joe Smith has looked like one of the best free agent relief signings the team has made in decades.
His ERA and FIP numbers are a dream (0.61 ERA, 3.42 xERA, 2.03 FIP, 2.89 xFIP), he rarely walks batters, and he’s other-worldly at getting out of any jam Rocco throws him in with his fantastic ground-ball rate and ability to get double plays. He’s been the Twins’ best reliever through the first quarter of the year. Grade: A+.
Emilio Pagan
No reliever is tougher to grade than Emilio Pagan. On one hand, he’s the team leader in saves with six, has a sparkling 2.30 ERA, and a stellar 12.1 K/9 rate. On the other hand, he has a brutal 6.3 BB/9 rate, an awful 1.468 WHIP, and a team-worst 5.86 FIP.
Now on one hand, he’s gotten the walks under control, issuing just two over his last eight innings, but he’s getting hit hard, allowing nine hits (including THREE(!!!) homers) over that span. It’s a tough call, but I’m grading based more on the good here. Grade: B.
Jhoan Duran
The last reliever on this list, Jhoan Duran has been an elite reliever for the Twins to start his career. He’s earned four saves, put up a 2.35 ERA (3.49 FIP), and is pounding the zone. His 31-3 K-BB ratio is elite, and his 13.1 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 rates are just as outstanding. On top of this, his 5.5 H/9 rate is the best of any player on the active roster and he hasn’t allowed a run in his last seven appearances.
He’s slowly taking over the closer role that he’s been destined for ever since the Twins made the wise decision to make him a full-time reliever. He’s got the potential to be the greatest reliever in Minnesota Twins history if he can keep pitching like this. Grade: A+.