Breaking down the Minnesota Twins’ AL Central Rivals: Chicago White Sox
Puckett’s Pond takes a look at the Minnesota Twins’ American League Central rivals, starting with the Chicago White Sox, their main competitor in 2020.
With baseball still postponed, the Minnesota Twins’ push to win the AL Central will have to wait. With that in mind, Puckett’s Pond will break down the other teams in the AL Central, and how they stack up against the Twins.
We’ll be starting with one of the Twins’ main competitors in the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox had a very active offseason, bringing in several players that should help them be better than they were last year when the team won seventy-two games.
We’ll compare how the teams did in the offseason, how their rotations compete, what the bullpen and lineup look like, how schedules look, and some intangibles. With all that in mind, we’ll get started.
Minnesota Twins offseason vs. Chicago White Sox offseason
The Twins put together offseason, bringing in catcher Alex Avila, and pitchers Rich Hill, Homer Bailey and Tyler Clippard to help shore up the back-end of their rotation and bullpen while re-signing Jake Odorizzi, Michael Pineda, and Sergio Romo, three key contributors from 2019.
The best part? That was all before bringing in Kenta Maeda and Josh Donaldson as the headliners of their huge offseason haul. They let go of C.J. Cron, Jonathan Schoop, Kyle Gibson, and Jason Castro, but each was replaced with a higher quality player.
While the Twins had a strong offseason, the White Sox may have had a better one. The White Sox brought in former All-Stars in Dallas Kuechel and Gio Gonzalez to help the rotation while adding Steve Cishek and his 2.69 career ERA to boost the bullpen.
They also made major upgrades to their lineup by signing slugger Edwin Encarnacion, trading a low-level prospect for another slugger in Nomar Mazara, re-signing Jose Abreu, and winning the free agent race for star catcher Yasmani Grandal.
The White Sox only had one major departure in 2019 Gold Glove Winner Yolmer Sánchez, but his offense was so bad it may be an improvement. The team also seems ready to reap the rewards of their excellent farm system, as Luis Robert and Michael Kopech seem ready to make the leap. The south siders win this one. Advantage: White Sox
Minnesota Twins Intangibles vs. Chicago White Sox Intangibles
While Chicago is a larger city than the Twin Cities combined, most Chicagoans claim the Cubs as their favorite baseball team, with the Cubs bringing in more fans every season since 1995. This gives the Twins a big leg up, as Twins have topped the White Sox in attendance every year since 2008.
The Twins also have a superior manager and coaching staff. Rocco Baldelli won manager of the year in his first season last year and 101 wins, while Sox manager Rick Renteria has led the Sox to three straight seasons below 75 wins.
Lastly, the Minnesota Twins return almost the same roster from 2019, giving them the edge over a White Sox team that is still going through the final stages of a rebuild. The chemistry, coaching, and fan base give the Twins a huge lead in this category. Advantage: Twins.
Minnesota Twins Rotation vs. Chicago White Sox Rotation
The Twins and White Sox rotations both have improved dramatically over the last two years. Only one Twins starter was on the roster two seasons, and only two of the White Sox’ starting pitchers are still around. With that being said, here are the rotations for each team (last years stats included):
Twins:
- Jose Berrios: 14-8, 3.68 ERA, 195 K, All-Star
- Jake Odorizzi: 15-7, 3.51 ERA, 178 K, All-Star
- Kenta Maeda: 10-8, 4.04 ERA, 169 K
- Randy Dobnak: 2-1, 1.59 ERA, 23 K
- Homer Bailey: 13-9, 4.57 ERA, 149 K
- Michael Pineda: 11-5, 4.01 ERA, 140 K (39 Games Remaining on his Suspension)
White Sox:
- Lucas Giolito: 14-9, 3.41 ERA, 228 K, All-Star
- Dallas Kuechel: 8-8, 3.75 ERA, 91 K
- Gio Gonzalez: 3-2, 3.50 ERA, 78 K
- Reynaldo Lopez: 10-15, 5.38 ERA, 169 K
- Dylan Cease: 4-7, 5.79 ERA, 81 K
Neither one of these rotations are fully settled, with Spring Training being cut short, so Dobnak, Bailey, and Cease are all projected for the fourth and fifth spots. These will likely change throughout the season with top prospects like Jordan Balazovic and Michael Kopech joining the rotation during the year.
With that being said, this a close competition. Berrios/Odorizzi and Giolito/Kuechel are even, but Kenta Maeda is a huge upgrade over Gonzalez, and unless Lopez and Cease can reach their potential, Dobnak and Bailey/Pineda are far more reliable options. Advantage: Twins.
Minnesota Twins Bullpen vs. Chicago White Sox Bullpen
A good bullpen is one of the keys to winning a World Series, and one of these teams has one, while the other could use some help. The Twins bullpen seemed to be lacking at the beginning of 2019, but turned into a strength by the end of the year. We’ll take a look at the two bullpens:
Twins:
- Trevor May: 64.1 IP, 2.94 ERA, 79 K, 3 SV
- Tyler Duffey: 57.1 IP, 2.50 ERA, 82 K
- Sergio Romo: 60.1 IP, 3.43 ERA, 60 K, 20 SV
- Tyler Clippard: 62 IP, 2.90 ERA, 64 K
- Cody Stashak: 25 IP, 3.24 ERA, 25 K
- Zack Littell: 37.0 IP, 2.68 ERA, 32 K
- Closer-Taylor Rogers: 69 IP, 2.61 ERA, 90 K, 30 SV
White Sox:
- Aaron Bummer: 67.2 IP, 2.13 ERA, 60 K, 1 SV
- Steve Cishek: 64 IP, 2.95 ERA, 57 K, 7 SV
- Kelvin Herrera: 51.1 IP, 6.14 ERA, 53 K, 1 SV
- Evan Marshall: 50.2 IP, 2.49 ERA, 48 K
- Jace Fry: 55 IP, 4.75 ERA, 68 K
- Carson Fulmer: 27.1 IP, 6.26 ERA, 25 K
- Closer-Alex Colome: 61 IP, 2.80 ERA, 55 K, 30 SV
For the Twins, they have the deepest bullpen in the league with seven pitchers with a sub-3.50 ERA. Taylor Rogers is an elite closer and May is the perfect man for the eighth inning. They have so many strong options, that it becomes hard to choose. The White Sox don’t have this problem.
Alex Colome is a solid closer, and Bummer, Marshall, and the newly-signed Cishek are good options, but Herrera has fallen apart and Fry and Fulmer struggle often. The team is putting together a decent bullpen, but it is nowhere close to the Twins. Advantage: Twins
Minnesota Twins Lineup vs. Chicago White Sox Lineup
Both the Twins and the White Sox have changed their lineups greatly over the past few years, and the result includes some new young talent and some pretty powerful sluggers. Despite the Twins power show last season, this one is closer than you think.
Twins:
- C-Mitch Garver: .273 BA, 31 HR, 67 RBI, Silver Slugger
- 1B-Miguel Sano: .247 BA, 34 HR, 79 RBI
- 2B-Luis Arraez: .334 BA, 4 HR, 28 RBI
- SS-Jorge Polanco: .295 BA, 22 HR, 79 RBI, All-Star
- 3B-Josh Donaldson: .259 BA, 37 HR, 94 RBI
- LF-Eddie Rosario: .276 BA, 32 HR, 109 RBI
- CF-Byron Buxton: .262 BA, 10 HR, 46 RBI, 14 SB
- RF-Max Kepler: .252 BA, 36 HR, 90 RBI
- DH-Nelson Cruz: .311 BA, 41 HR, 108 RBI
White Sox
- C-Yasmani Grandal: .246 BA, 28 HR, 77 RBI, All-Star
- 1B-Jose Abreu: .284 BA, 33 HR, 123 RBI, All-Star
- 2B-Leury Garcia: .279 BA, 8 HR, 40 RBI, 15 SB
- SS-Tim Anderson: .335 BA, 18 HR, 56 RBI, 17 SB, Batting Champion
- 3B-Yoan Moncada: .315 BA, 25 HR, 79 RBI, 10 SB
- LF-Eloy Jiminez: .267 BA, 31 HR, 79 RBI
- CF-Luis Robert: .328 BA, 32 HR, 92 RBI, 36 SB (MINORS, MLB #3 Prospect)
- RF-Nomar Mazara: .268 BA, 19 HR, 66 RBI
- DH-Edwin Encarnacion: .244 BA, 34 HR, 86 RBI
If you were looking for a lineup that compares to the Twins, look no further than Chicago. Both the Twins and the White Sox have a lineup that has scary hitters from top to bottom, with all nine hitters for both teams a threat to homer or get on base.
The Twins will hit more home runs, but the White Sox will get on base more and score more. Despite the Twins will having a dominant lineup, the White Sox could be even better if Luis Roberts is as good as advertised. We’ll give the edge to the White Sox for now, but this is a close one. Advantage: White Sox.
Minnesota Twins Bench vs. Chicago White Sox Bench
The White Sox are one of the few teams to have a 2019 All-Star on their bench in James McCann, and it’s fitting that they’re one of the deeper teams in the league. Don’t count the Twins out, as they have one of the more talented groups as well. Here’s the run-down:
Twins:
- C-Alex Avila: .207 BA, 9 HR, 24 RBI
- IF-Ehire Adrianza: .272 BA, 5 HR, 22 RBI
- IF/OF-Marwin Gonzalez: .264 BA, 15 HR, 55 RBI
- IF/OF-Willians Astudillo: .268 BA, 4 HR, 21 RBI
- OF-Jake Cave: .258 BA, 8 HR, 25 RBI
White Sox:
- C-James McCann: .273 BA, 18 HR, 60 RBI, All-Star
- OF-Adam Engel: .242 BA, 6 HR, 26 RBI
- IF-Danny Mendick: .308 BA, 2 HR, 4 RBI
- IF-Cheslor Cuthbert: .246 BA, 9 HR, 40 RBI
- OF-Nicky Delmonico: .206 BA, 1 HR, 6 RBI
This Twins take this last group because of Marwin Gonzalez and the defensive ability of this bench. The White Sox have McCann, Engel, and not much else, helping the Twins out there as well. Advantage: Twins.
Record Prediction:
The White Sox will make things hard on the Twins this season, but they won’t have the pitching to overtake the Twins and win the division. Here are the final projected records for each team:
Minnesota Twins: 95-67
Chicago White Sox: 87-75
A special thank you to the Co-Experts of Southside Showdown, the Chicago White Sox FanSided site for providing the White Sox Roster projection!
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