Minnesota Twins: Predicting an ALDS rotation for facing the New York Yankees
By Otto Johnson
Game 2: Randy Dobnak vs. James Paxton
Surprised? So is Dobnak, the Twins, the Yankees, and probably every single person who knows baseball is a sport. This spot should be Pineda, but with him out until next season, the Twins must turn elsewhere. Dobnak has been very solid with a 1.59 ERA and given the Twins five very good innings in each of his last three starts. Even as an opener, he’s been very solid, with three earned runs in 12 innings.
He’s never pitched against any of the Yankees but his road splits, which have seen him post a 0.56 ERA, make him a smart choice over Odorizzi in Yankee Stadium.
For the Yankees, the decision is easy. James Paxton has been the team’s ace all year, so if he doesn’t get Game 1, he’ll face Dobnak in Game 2. With 15 wins and a 3.73 ERA, he has been exactly what the Yankees were hoping for when he was brought over from the Mariners. His stats look very similar to Jake Odorizzi‘s with a rough July, but an excellent August and September.
He only gave up one run in his last start against the Twins before getting hurt, but Paxton has been pretty solid against the Twins overall. The Twins (C.J. Cron, Miguel Sano, and Marwin Gonzalez excluded) have a .167 BA in 66 AB against him (Cron, Sano, and Gonzalez have a .305 BA in 59 AB). If the Twins hit like Cron, Sano, and Gonzalez, then Paxton will be in trouble.
Dobnak has been very good throughout the past couple of months, but Paxton is a legitimate front of the line starter with the hot hand.