2015 Twins: Best Over/Under Projections

Jun 20, 2014; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher

(47) delivers a pitch in the first inning against the Chicago White Sox at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Ricky Nolasco ERA: 4.40

The Twins went out and made a splash last season in signing two starting pitchers in free agency. At the time, Ricky Nolasco had signed the largest free agent contract in Twins history. He came in and was expected to be the ace of the Twins staff. For anyone that paid even remotely close attention to the Twins last season, you know that couldn’t be further from the outcome.

Nolasco was a train-wreck, and dealt with injuries on and off throughout the season. His final ERA checked in a 5.38 and he compiled a 6-12 record in his first season with the Twins. While the numbers were bad, Nolasco’s defensive help wasn’t anything to be proud of either, his fielding independent pitching (FIP) checked in at 4.30.

Going into 2015, Nolasco should be expected to be one of the biggest bounce back candidates on the Twins roster. While he was never a lights out pitcher in the National League, he was above average. In 2013, his 3.70 ERA between the Marlins and Dodgers was the second best of his career. Now healthier and having had the ability to see most of the American League first hand, he should be able to be an asset to the Twins. I see his ERA somewhere right around 4.35

Prediction: Under 4.40 ERA for Ricky Nolasco