2015 Twins: Best Over/Under Projections

Jul 29, 2014; Kansas City, MO, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher

(44) delivers a pitch in the first inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports

Kyle Gibson Win Total: 15

A year ago, Kyle Gibson had a jekyll and hyde type season for the Twins. In his wins, he sported an ERA that rested under 1.00 and in his losses, that number ballooned to over 12.00. While wins are a marginal statistic when it comes to deciding what kind of pitcher you have, Gibson should take steps forward this season, and his win column will translate.

After pitching in 31 games as a starter a season ago, Gibson was 13-12 for the Twins with a 4.47 ERA. Although the numbers are significantly higher than the Twins would have hoped, a 26-year-old getting his first shot at regular time could have done much worse. Terry Ryan has indicated that Gibson remains someone he believes will take significant steps forward in 2015, and he does so with good defense.

Having Torii Hunter and Oswaldo Arcia behind him in the corner outfield spots won’t do him any favors, but look for Gibson to be more consistent, and more good than bad in 2015. An ERA right around four is very realistic, and am improved offense should provide more run support. I think both Phil Hughes and Gibson have a shot at being 17+ game winners this season for the Twins.

Prediction: Over 15 wins for Kyle Gibson