Twins Overpay for Matt Capps

I guess I can’t find a source that says it’s official yet, but I’ll go with it

edit: official now, per everybody.

Tonight Bill Smith took his biggest trade chip, arguably the best catching prospect in the minor leagues (and I mean true catching prospect, Yankees fans) and turned him into a reliever with one more year of arbitration left.

Let’s read that again: the 58th best prospect in the game according to Baseball America, a guy who is a lock to stay behind the plate, is going for a reliever who had a 4.90 FIP last year.

I haven’t been as high on Ramos as many Twins fans, as he definitely has some plate discipline problems, but to trade him for a reliever, really any reliever, is silly. And it’s even more silly to do so for a reliever who was DFAed last year.

Let’s look at some numbers side by side:

Pitcher A and pitcher B are pretty much identical (all are career numbers).

Pitcher A is the newly acquired Capps. Pitcher B? Current closer Jon Rauch. Bill Smith has traded for virtually identical pitchers the last two deadlines. One cost Kevin Mulvey, one cost Wilson Ramos. It appears Smith is regressing.

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Tags: Jon Rauch Matt Capps Wilson Ramos

  • jimbo92107

    I agree that the price was too high, but Capps was a closer in the All Star game. You really think Rauch was as good as that? If the Twins were leading by one run going into the ninth inning, did you feel confident that Jon Rauch would slam the door? I didn’t. I always felt the team was dancing on thin ice with Rauch at closer. His surprisingly positive results were in large part due to luck – guys hitting line drives right to the outfielders. I’m assuming Matt Capps isn’t that chancy.

    • Fetch

      I agree with you about feeling uneasy when Rauch was in there. But I felt uneasy with Nathan a lot too and the guy was one of the best in the game. Even the best scouts in baseball get fooled when they rely only on their eyes and feelings.

      I do think Capps will end up being probably the best reliever in the pen, but this is still too high of a price. And since every team needs to be represented in the ASG and the number of guys who back out every year, saying someone is an All-Star isn’t saying too much.

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