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	<title>Puckett&#039;s Pond &#187; Rich Harden</title>
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		<title>Too Short, Kevin Correia and Getting in Where You Fit In</title>
		<link>http://puckettspond.com/2013/02/04/too-short-kevin-correia-and-getting-in-where-you-fit-in/</link>
		<comments>http://puckettspond.com/2013/02/04/too-short-kevin-correia-and-getting-in-where-you-fit-in/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 17:17:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ben Noble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Hicks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Meyer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony Swarzak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BJ Hermsen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Parmelee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Correia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kyle Gibson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liam Hendriks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Pelfrey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oswaldo Arcia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pitching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[popular]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rich Harden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Diamond]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Too Short]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trevor May]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vance Worley]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://puckettspond.com/?p=8905</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Why signing Kevin Correia for two years makes sense. My brother got a raincoat for Christmas this year. If you&#8217;ve ever worn a raincoat while biking or hiking around in the spring, you know that a poor quality raincoat can leave you just as damp as if you were wearing nothing at all. A well-made [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_8906" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 660px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2013/02/6497720.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-8906" title="MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates" src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2013/02/6497720.jpg" alt="" width="650" height="443" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">August 14, 2012; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Kevin Correia (29) reacts after giving up two runs against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the sixth inning at PNC Park. The Los Angeles Dodgers won 11-0. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports</p></div>
<p><strong>Why signing Kevin Correia for two years makes sense.</strong></p>
<p>My brother got a raincoat for Christmas this year. If you&#8217;ve ever worn a raincoat while biking or hiking around in the spring, you know that a poor quality raincoat can leave you just as damp as if you were wearing nothing at all. A well-made raincoat is actually a pretty nifty piece of engineering.</p>
<p>But my brother didn&#8217;t want a raincoat, he wanted a parka. Or new boots. Or a nice pair of choppers. He had asked for this raincoat last spring, but right now he just wanted something to keep him warm. There&#8217;s no way that raincoat is going to keep him toasty this winter, and he&#8217;s going to have to wait a few months to really put his Christmas present to use.</p>
<p>We all wanted the Twins to sign a big-name free agent starting pitcher this off season, but instead we got <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/correke01.shtml">Kevin Correia</a> under the Christmas tree. Kevin Correia is not going to keep us warm this winter. He&#8217;s not going to lead a rotation, even one as bad as the Twins&#8217;. But if we can have a little patience and put it in perspective, I truly believe this signing will pay big dividends for this team in the long run.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve got a pretty good idea of what we&#8217;re getting with Correia, right? A back-end starter, plain and simple. But every potential starter in the Twins rotation other than Correia has major question marks surrounding him coming into the season. Let&#8217;s take a look:</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/diamosc01.shtml">Scott Diamond</a> had minor off-season surgery and will probably regress from 2012</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/worleva01.shtml">Vance Worley</a> had surgery in September and may have difficulty transitioning from the NL</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=gibson002kyl">Kyle Gibson</a> has pitched a total of 6.2 innings above high-A since returning from Tommy John surgery</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/pelfrmi01.shtml">Mike Pelfrey</a> is returning from Tommy John surgery and is switching leagues</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hendrli01.shtml">Liam Hendriks</a> has struggled in the Majors to this point, particularly with consistency</p>
<p>• <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/harderi01.shtml">Rich Harden</a> has had a rash of injuries the past few years, and would need to be on an innings limit if starting</p>
<p>With this mess of injuries, inning limits and other question marks, the Twins are going to need a solid long reliever. In fact, looking at the second half of 2013 and into 2014, the Twins may be more in need of a long reliever than any other team in baseball. That&#8217;s when we can expect to start seeing the likes of <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=may---001tre">Trevor May</a> and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=hermse001bj-">BJ Hermsen</a>, and possibly <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=meyer-001ale">Alex Meyer</a> breaking into the big leagues.</p>
<p>In an ideal world, 2014 will see five talented but young pitchers in the Twins rotation, some sort of mix of Diamond, Worley, Gibson, Hendricks,</p>
<div id="attachment_8907" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2013/02/6357738.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-8907" title="MLB: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers" src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2013/02/6357738-300x199.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="199" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">July 2, 2012; Detroit, MI, USA; Minnesota Twins manager Ron Gardenhire (35) takes the ball from starting pitcher Liam Hendriks (62) during the fifth inning against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports</p></div>
<p>May, Meyer and Hermsen. Young pitchers get to the majors early because they have the talent to get the job done. But they also tend to be inconsistent.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s where signing Correia for two years really starts to make sense. Someone like, say, Trevor May might be lights-out one night, but get knocked out after three innings in his next start. With so many young pitchers, these short starts could easily become a semi-regular occurrence.</p>
<p>Who do you want going out to the mound in the third or fourth inning on a semi-regular basis to try to give a bunch of young batters a chance to put some crooked numbers up and steal a win, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/swarzan01.shtml">Anthony Swarzak</a>? No thanks. Don&#8217;t get me wrong, I like Swarzak, but consistency is not his strong suit. A veteran presence on a young team will help when these young starters undoubtedly get beat up early in some games.</p>
<p>Kevin Correia has experience as a reliever, and has actually put up decent numbers in that role. Not great, but decent, and he&#8217;s been pretty consistent, which is the sort of thing that comes with experience. Through the first four innings, Correia sports a career ERA of 4.00. I can live with that from a long reliever. It’s after those first four innings that he starts to fall apart.</p>
<p>I want <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=hicks-001aar">Aaron Hicks</a>, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=arcia-001osw">Oswaldo Arcia</a>, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/parmech01.shtml">Chris Parmelee</a> and company to feel that they have a chance to turn a game around when the going gets tough, and I believe that&#8217;s where Correia will show his true value. Like it or not, the Twins are going to have an increasing number of young, talented position players learning on the job in the big leagues, and the importance of confidence for young hitters―the mental part of the game―shouldn&#8217;t be underestimated.</p>
<p>Look, if Kevin Correia ends up in the starting rotation for the next two years, then it&#8217;s going to be a very long two years. But if he ends up as our long reliever sometime around the middle of 2013 and beyond, he could be exactly what this team needs. As cold as it is right now, the spring rain isn&#8217;t too far off, and my brother bikes everywhere he goes. It&#8217;s all about perspective and a little patience. The Twins just need Kevin Correia to get in where he fits in.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If you liked reading this, tweet it: traffic helps pay my bills. You can follow me <a href="https://twitter.com/TheBenNoble">here</a>, and like us on Facebook <a href="http://puckettspond.com/2013/02/06/minnesota-twins-spring-training-preview-catchers/www.facebook.com/puckettspond">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Twins Talking Points: Matt Capps, the rotation, and Tsuyoshi Nishioka</title>
		<link>http://puckettspond.com/2012/02/01/twins-talking-points-matt-capps-the-rotation-and-tsuyoshi-nishioka/</link>
		<comments>http://puckettspond.com/2012/02/01/twins-talking-points-matt-capps-the-rotation-and-tsuyoshi-nishioka/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 01:19:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Signings/Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carl Pavano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Capps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rich Harden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tsuyoshi Nishioka]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://puckettspond.com/?p=7034</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Matt Capps re-signing is not new news, but I would like to direct your attention to this piece written by Aaron Gleeman. It is the most perfect summary I have seen so far of all the reasons why the Capps deal made no sense at all. Defenders of the move point to the fact [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Matt Capps re-signing is not new news, but I would like to direct your attention<a title="Matt Capps, Axl Rose, and the Twins bullpen" href="http://aarongleeman.com/2012/01/30/matt-capps-axl-rose-and-the-twins-bullpen/" target="_blank"> to this piece</a> written by Aaron Gleeman. It is the most perfect summary I have seen so far of all the reasons why the Capps deal made no sense at all. Defenders of the move point to the fact that Capps was hurt last year and is likely to pitch much better in 2012. Fine. I am willing to believe that will be the case, and I fervently hope it is. But as Gleeman points out, the Twins could have rebuilt their entire bullpen with pitchers who are as good as or better than Capps and gained a draft pick in the process.<br />
Terry Ryan is a talented executive, and I think he is an intelligent man. But it is 100% impossible to justify his thinking on this one.<br />
Some of his decisions regarding the starting rotation have been hard to stomach as well, but at least there is a 50/50 chance that a lot of those choices will work out. Nick Nelson <a title="Dangerous Gambles in the Rotation" href="http://www.nickstwinsblog.com/2012/02/dangerous-gambles-in-rotation.html" target="_blank">wrote a piece</a> analyzing those “coin-flip” scenarios, and it’s definitely worth a read. Scott Baker and Francisco Liriano seem to be true crapshoots, in that they seem to have equal chances of being dominant starters or injury-riddled disappointments this year.  I think Carl Pavano is less of a coin-flip, though <a href="http://puckettspond.com/2012/02/01/twins-talking-points-matt-capps-the-rotation-and-tsuyoshi-nishioka/#more-7034" class="more-link">(more&#8230;)</a></p>
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		<title>What Can You Get for $30 Million?</title>
		<link>http://puckettspond.com/2011/10/13/what-can-you-get-for-30-million/</link>
		<comments>http://puckettspond.com/2011/10/13/what-can-you-get-for-30-million/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Oct 2011 00:29:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rumors/Speculation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Edwin Jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free agents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javier Lopez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Cuddyer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ramon Santiago]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rich Harden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Doumit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://puckettspond.com/?p=6325</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; According to calculations by this site and by others, the Twins probably have about $30 million to spend this offseason on new player payroll. I’ve seen the number $35 million thrown around, but it’s probably best to stick with the conservative figure; after all, the team might have to tuck away a few extra [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>According to calculations by <a title="How Much Money?" href="http://puckettspond.com/2011/10/01/how-much-money/" target="_blank">this site </a>and by <a title="Aaron Gleeman: How Much Payroll Space?" href="http://aarongleeman.com/2011/10/10/how-much-payroll-space-will-the-twins-have-this-offseason/" target="_blank">others</a>, the Twins probably have about $30 million to spend this offseason on new player payroll. I’ve seen the number $35 million thrown around, but it’s probably best to stick with the conservative figure; after all, the team might have to tuck away a few extra bucks to use on signing bonuses for their super high 2012 draft picks.</p>
<p>So how to spend the $30 million? That’s probably enough to sign <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/player_search.cgi?results=rolliji01,rollin001jim&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jimmy Rollins</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wilsocj01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">C.J. Wilson</a></strong>. That would shore up the team’s two biggest holes: middle infield and starting pitching. Unfortunately, the two marquee players would drain pretty much every available cent the Twins have, leaving none left over to sign an outfielder, backup catcher, or relief help. Plus, Wilson and Rollins are both over 30, and they’d both command long term deals. I don’t think the Twins want to be writing giant checks to Rollins when he is 37. So if you’re hoping the Twins will go after Wilson, Rollins, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/player_search.cgi?results=reyesjo01,reyes-004jos,reyes-016jos,reyes-017jos,reyesjo02&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jose Reyes</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/pujolal01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Albert Pujols</a></strong>, or <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/fieldpr01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Prince Fielder</a></strong>, please reconsider.</p>
<p>Fortunately, with $30 million, it should be possible to stock the roster with more affordable options who could bridge the gap between the worst team in the American League and a respectable team capable of contending.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how I&#8217;d spend the money (assuming all of these guys are willing to play for the Twins):</p>
<p><strong></strong><strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jacksed01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Edwin Jackson</a></strong>, RHP, Cardinals, $12 Million <a href="http://puckettspond.com/2011/10/13/what-can-you-get-for-30-million/#more-6325" class="more-link">(more&#8230;)</a></p>
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