Twins-Rays Series Preview

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Matt Garza throws to first base against the Boston Red Sox during the sixth inning of their American League MLB baseball game at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts June 30, 2010. REUTERS/Adam Hunger (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT BASEBALL)
*Sigh*

It’s been over two years since the worst trade ever, and even though it doesn’t look quite so lopsided anymore, there is still no question that the Rays won this deal. Delmon Young is turning into a useful right-handed bat but he’s still terrible on defense, while Brendan Harris has been demoted to AAA and Jason Pridie is now a farmhand for the Mets. Jason Bartlett has come back down to earth a bit from his 4.8 fWAR 2009 season, batting just .224/.313/.329, but Matt Garza just keeps on keepin’ on, with a 4.08 ERA, 2.31 K/BB ratio, 4.35 FIP, and 4.45 xFIP (which might not be great, but who wouldn’t rather have him in the rotation than Nick Blackburn right now?). The two are a combined 1.2 fWAR this season. Delmon? 0.8. So yeah, while he may no longer be the worst everyday player in the major leagues anymore, he still isn’t much more than replacement-level.

Thursday, July 1st:

Jeff Niemann: 2.72 ERA, 2.50 K/BB, 4.40 FIP, 4.29 xFIP

vs.

Carl Pavano: 3.33 ERA, 3.93 K/BB, 3.94 FIP, 4.04 xFIP

Carl Pavano made $48 million in four years in his career with the Yankees. He pitched all of 135.2 innings, and posted a 5.00 ERA. He’ll make about $10 million in his career with the Twins, while posting a 3.87 ERA in 179 innings thus far. MWAHAHAHAHA.

Friday, July 2nd:

David Price: 2.44 ERA, 2.21 K/BB, 3.73 FIP, 4.07 xFIP

vs.

Scott Baker: 4.97 ERA, 4.31 K/BB, 4.07 FIP, 3.81 xFIP

Scotty’s xFIP and FIP are nearly a full run lower than his ERA, which isn’t a surprise given the horrible defense behind him. He probably wouldn’t mind being dealt to the Mariners in exchange for Cliff Lee.

Saturday, July 3rd:

Wade Davis: 4.68 ERA, 1.50 K/BB, 5.25 FIP, 5.04 xFIP

vs.

Francisco Liriano: 3.47 ERA, 3.93 K/BB, 2.20 FIP, 3.01 xFIP

My Mom actually got us tickets to this game as a birthday present for my Dad. I haven’t even made it out to the new joint yet, and I get to see Frankie pitch! He’s looked a bit more human in his past few starts, but he’s still among the league’s elite pitchers. This should be good.

Sunday, July 4th:

James Shields: 4.76 ERA, 4.08 K/BB, 4.13 FIP, 3.55 xFIP

vs.

Nick Blackburn: 6.02 ERA, 1.25 K/BB, 5.48 FIP, 5.19 xFIP

Tags: Brendan Harris Carl Pavano Delmon Young Francisco Liriano Jason Bartlett Jason Pridie Matt Garza Minnesota Twins Nick Blackburn Scott Baker Tampa Bay Rays